Noninvasive predictors of atrial fibrillation: age, sex, interatrial block, and left atrial enlargement

    Authors

    Keywords

    atrial fibrillation, noninvasive predictors, interatrial block, left atrial enlargement

    DOI

    https://doi.org/10.15836/ccar2016.410

    Full Text

    **Introduction**: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in adults and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. An increasing interest exists in identification of noninvasive markers of predisposition to AF. Several ECG and echocardiography-based predictors of AF, such as interatrial block (IAB) and left atrial enlargement (LAE) are well known. (1-3) Aim of this study was to analyze which noninvasive predictors may help identify patients at risk of developing AF. **Patients and Methods**: This was a case-control, observational study which included 9,125 patients evaluated in inpatient or outpatient setting from 2000 to 2016. All subjects underwent 12-lead ECG and transthoracic echocardiogram. AF was defined as an irregularly ECG rhythm without identifiable P wave. IAB was diagnosed if P-wave duration was ≥120 ms. LAE was diagnosed in the apical 4-chamber view with LA area ≥25 cm2. Demographics and medical history were reported. Patients aged <18 years and with long-standing persistent or permanent AF were excluded. Chi-squared test was used to report differences in frequencies. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze odds ratios for the diagnosis of nonpermanent AF. **Results**: There were 798 (8.7%) cases of nonpermanent AF. Patients in sinus rhythm were more often men (51.8%), aged <65 years (50.4%), with frequency of LAE and IAB of 13.3% and 14.4%, respectively. AF cases were women in 52.6%, aged ≥65 in 75.9%, with LAE and IAB diagnosed in 32.6% and 31.1%, respectively. All differences in reported frequencies between patients in sinus rhythm and nonpermanent AF were statistically significant (P<0.001, except for gender comparison with P=0.016). The odds for having nonpermanent AF in women was 1.34 (95% CI 1.13-1.59), in aged ≥65 years was 2.50 (95% CI 2.07-3.02), and in those with LAE or IAB were 2.50 (95% CI 2.07-3.03) and 2.11 (95% CI 1.75-2.56), respectively. Male gender and age <65 years had odds in favor of sinus rhythm, 0.75 (95% CI 0.63-0.89) and 0.40 (95 CI 0.33-0.48), respectively. **Conclusion**: LAE, IAB, aged ≥65 years, and females were independent, noninvasive markers that may help identify patients at risk of developing AF. P-wave duration and LA area measurements, as modifiable predictors, may contribute substantially to AF risk estimation and should be recommended in a routine workup.

    Literature

    1. German DM, Kabir MM, Dewland TA, Henrikson CA, Tereshchenko LG. Atrial Fibrillation Predictors: Importance of the Electrocardiogram. Ann Noninvasive Electrocardiol. 2016;21(1):20–9. https://doi.org/10.1111/anec.12321
    2. Vlachos K, Letsas KP, Korantzopoulos P, Liu T, Georgopoulos S, Bakalakos A, et al. Prediction of atrial fibrillation development and progression: Current perspectives. World J Cardiol. 2016;8(3):267–76. https://doi.org/10.4330/wjc.v8.i3.267
    3. Kochhäuser S, Dechering DG, Trought K, Hache P, Haig-Carter T, Khaykin Y, et al. Predictors for Progression of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Awaiting Atrial Fibrillation Ablation. Can J Cardiol. 2016 Nov;32(11):1348–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cjca.2016.02.031
    Cardiologia Croatica
    Back to search

    Noninvasive predictors of atrial fibrillation: age, sex, interatrial block, and left atrial enlargement

    Extended Abstract
    Issue10-11
    Published
    Pages410
    PDF via DOIhttps://doi.org/10.15836/ccar2016.410
    atrial fibrillation
    noninvasive predictors
    interatrial block
    left atrial enlargement

    Authors

    Enes AbdovićCantonal Hospital Zenica, Zenica, Bosnia and Herzegovina

    Full Text

    Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in adults and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. An increasing interest exists in identification of noninvasive markers of predisposition to AF. Several ECG and echocardiography-based predictors of AF, such as interatrial block (IAB) and left atrial enlargement (LAE) are well known. (1–3) Aim of this study was to analyze which noninvasive predictors may help identify patients at risk of developing AF.

    Patients and Methods: This was a case-control, observational study which included 9,125 patients evaluated in inpatient or outpatient setting from 2000 to 2016. All subjects underwent 12-lead ECG and transthoracic echocardiogram. AF was defined as an irregularly ECG rhythm without identifiable P wave. IAB was diagnosed if P-wave duration was ≥120 ms. LAE was diagnosed in the apical 4-chamber view with LA area ≥25 cm2. Demographics and medical history were reported. Patients aged <18 years and with long-standing persistent or permanent AF were excluded. Chi-squared test was used to report differences in frequencies. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze odds ratios for the diagnosis of nonpermanent AF.

    Results: There were 798 (8.7%) cases of nonpermanent AF. Patients in sinus rhythm were more often men (51.8%), aged <65 years (50.4%), with frequency of LAE and IAB of 13.3% and 14.4%, respectively. AF cases were women in 52.6%, aged ≥65 in 75.9%, with LAE and IAB diagnosed in 32.6% and 31.1%, respectively. All differences in reported frequencies between patients in sinus rhythm and nonpermanent AF were statistically significant (P<0.001, except for gender comparison with P=0.016). The odds for having nonpermanent AF in women was 1.34 (95% CI 1.13-1.59), in aged ≥65 years was 2.50 (95% CI 2.07-3.02), and in those with LAE or IAB were 2.50 (95% CI 2.07-3.03) and 2.11 (95% CI 1.75-2.56), respectively. Male gender and age <65 years had odds in favor of sinus rhythm, 0.75 (95% CI 0.63-0.89) and 0.40 (95 CI 0.33-0.48), respectively.

    Conclusion: LAE, IAB, aged ≥65 years, and females were independent, noninvasive markers that may help identify patients at risk of developing AF. P-wave duration and LA area measurements, as modifiable predictors, may contribute substantially to AF risk estimation and should be recommended in a routine workup.

    Literature

    1. 1.
      German DM, Kabir MM, Dewland TA, Henrikson CA, Tereshchenko LG. Atrial Fibrillation Predictors: Importance of the Electrocardiogram. Ann Noninvasive Electrocardiol. 2016;21(1):20–9.DOI
    2. 2.
      Vlachos K, Letsas KP, Korantzopoulos P, Liu T, Georgopoulos S, Bakalakos A, et al. Prediction of atrial fibrillation development and progression: Current perspectives. World J Cardiol. 2016;8(3):267–76.DOI
    3. 3.
      Kochhäuser S, Dechering DG, Trought K, Hache P, Haig-Carter T, Khaykin Y, et al. Predictors for Progression of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Awaiting Atrial Fibrillation Ablation. Can J Cardiol. 2016 Nov;32(11):1348–54.DOI